The Journal of Transdisciplinary Environmental Studies' (TES)
Volume 13, Number 2, 2014

ISSN 1602-2297

Back to the Future: A Backcasting based Approach to Planning for an Energy System Transition in the Danish Region of Zealand

Tue Damsø, Thomas Budde Christensen and Tyge Kjær
Department of Environmental, Social and Spatial Change (ENSPAC), Roskilde University, Universitetsvej 1, DK-4000 Roskilde, Denmark
Corresponding author

Abstract: he article presents a backcasting-based approach to energy planning, and applies this to a case study on the development of an action plan aimed at the complete transition to renewable energy in the Danish Region of Zealand. Through the application of a systemic and target-oriented approach, a step-by-step backcasting methodology is outlined and utilized. The article highlights the value of the backcasting approach in addressing key limitations of forecasting based planning approaches and underlining the need for flexibility concerning the deep uncertainty associated with energy futures.

Keywords: Climate change, renewable energy, energy system transition, planning, backcasting, Local Governmenty

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